Is 2024 El Nino Or El Nina. El niño helped drive global average temperatures to new records over the last year. The chance of el niño redeveloping is negligible during this time.
After a year of dominance, el niño released its hold on the tropical pacific in may 2024, according to noaa’s latest update. El niño weakened substantially over the past month, and we think a transition to neutral conditions is imminent.